Research topic

Safe havens, hedging and geopolitical risk

We test whether gold, cryptocurrencies, commodities and other asset classes act as hedges or safe havens when markets face geopolitical conflict, pandemic stress or energy-price shocks.

Main questions

Which asset classes hedged the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and do the answers hold across other conflicts? Is there one safe haven for different kinds of turbulence? Do cryptocurrencies hedge oil price fluctuations, and do proof-of-work and proof-of-stake coins differ as hedges against green and dirty energy? When does an apparent safe haven turn out to be a false one?

Methods

Event-based and time-varying hedge and safe-haven tests, dynamic conditional correlations, volatility spillovers and portfolio strategies with volatility targeting.

Publications (10)

Proof-of-work versus proof-of-stake coins as possible hedges against green and dirty energy

Kliber, A., Będowska-Sójka, B. (2024). Energy Economics, 138, 107820.

DOISSRN preprint

Uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns: A lesson from turbulent times

Będowska-Sójka, B., Górka, J., Hemmings, D., Zaremba, A. (2024). International Review of Financial Analysis, 94, 103330.

DOINCN OPUS 21COST Action CA19130 FinAI

Can cryptocurrencies hedge oil price fluctuations? A pandemic perspective

Będowska-Sójka, B., Kliber, A. (2022). Energy Economics, 115, 106360.

DOISSRN preprint

False safe haven assets: Evidence from the target volatility strategy based on recurrent neural network

Kaczmarek, T., Będowska-Sójka, B., Grobelny, P., Perez, K. (2022). Research in International Business and Finance, 60, 101610.

DOISSRN preprint

Hedging geopolitical risks with different asset classes: A focus on the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Będowska-Sójka, B., Demir, E., Zaremba, A. (2022). Finance Research Letters, 50, 103192.

DOISSRN preprintNCN OPUS 21

Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?

Long, H., Demir, E., Będowska-Sójka, B., Zaremba, A., Shahzad, S.J.H. (2022). Finance Research Letters, 49, 103131.

DOISSRN preprintNCN OPUS 21

The lithium and oil markets – dependencies and volatility spillovers

Będowska-Sójka, B., Górka, J. (2022). Resources Policy, 78, 102901.

DOISSRN preprint

Is there one safe-haven for various turbulences? The evidence from gold, Bitcoin and Ether

Będowska-Sójka, B., Kliber, A. (2021). The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 56, 101390.

DOI

Conference talks (12)

When Wars Move Markets: Hedging Properties of Asset Classes Across Recent Geopolitical Conflicts

ISAFE 2026, Beijing, China, June 2026

With Ender Demir, Adam Zaremba

Conference website

Hedging Geopolitical Risks with Different Asset Classes: A Comparative Analysis of the Ukrainian and Iranian Conflicts

Forecasting Financial Markets (FFM) 2026, Milan, Italy, June 2026

With Ender Demir, Adam Zaremba

Conference website

Is There an Impact of Ethereum Merge on the Relationship Between This Cryptocurrency and Energy Portfolios?

World Finance Conference 2025, Valletta, Malta, July 2025

With Agata Kliber

Related paper

Is There an Impact of the Ethereum Merge on the Relationship Between Ethereum and Energy Portfolios?

1st Modern Finance Conference, Warsaw, Poland, September 2024

With Agata Kliber

Related paper

Do Uncertainty Indices Affect Cryptocurrency Uncertainty: A Lesson from Turbulent Times

Allied Social Science Associations (ASSA) Annual Meeting, San Antonio, TX, USA, January 2024

With Joanna Górka, Adam Zaremba

Related paper

Do Uncertainty Indices Affect Cryptocurrencies? Lesson from the Turbulent Times

CFE-CMStatistics 2023, Berlin, Germany, December 2023

With Joanna Górka

Related paper

PoW vs PoS Coins as Possible Hedges Against Green and Dirty Energy

2nd Conference on International Finance, Sustainable and Climate Finance and Growth (CINSC), Ljubljana, Slovenia, June 2023

With Agata Kliber

Conference websiteRelated paper

Do Uncertainty Indices Affect Cryptocurrencies? Lesson from the Turbulent Times

2nd Conference on International Finance, Sustainable and Climate Finance and Growth (CINSC), Ljubljana, Slovenia, June 2023

With Joanna Górka, Adam Zaremba

Conference websiteRelated paper

Do Uncertainty Indices Affect Cryptocurrencies? Lesson from the Turbulent Times

Sopot Conference on Modelling Contemporary Economies (Modelowanie i prognozowanie gospodarki narodowej), Sopot, Poland, May 2023

With Joanna Górka, Adam Zaremba

Keynote speaker.

Related paper

PoW vs PoS Coins as Possible Hedges Against Green and Dirty Energy

2nd Workshop on Environmental Finance for the Common Good – Diversity Challenges for Sustainable Fintech, COST Action CA19130, Pavia, Italy, April 2023

With Agata Kliber

Related paper

Dynamic Dependence and Volatility Spillovers on the Lithium and Oil Markets

Future Finance Conference, Naples, Italy, June 2022

With Joanna Górka

Related paper

Can Cryptocurrencies Hedge Oil Price Fluctuations? A Pandemic Perspective

Euro Working Group for Commodities and Financial Modelling & XIX International Conference on Finance and Banking (FIBA 2022), online, May 2022

With Agata Kliber

Related paper